Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.036173 0.042277 0.048999 0.056937 0.066041 0.076141 0.088182
2025-06-15 0.028110 0.036346 0.046262 0.059023 0.074948 0.094098 0.118798
2025-06-22 0.021664 0.030650 0.042356 0.058591 0.080375 0.108421 0.147061
2025-06-29 0.016725 0.025683 0.038212 0.056792 0.083367 0.119674 0.172621
2025-07-06 0.013425 0.022210 0.035312 0.055934 0.087139 0.132043 0.200826
2025-07-13 0.011849 0.020929 0.035250 0.058982 0.096669 0.153339 0.243810
2025-07-20 0.010404 0.019537 0.034713 0.061085 0.104852 0.173345 0.286845
2025-07-27 0.008628 0.017221 0.032255 0.059627 0.107044 0.184168 0.316626
2025-08-03 0.007336 0.015507 0.030506 0.059023 0.110415 0.196998 0.350619
2025-08-10 0.006112 0.013674 0.028230 0.057098 0.111153 0.205367 0.377818
2025-08-17 0.005167 0.012207 0.026386 0.055654 0.112469 0.214688 0.407291
2025-08-24 0.004540 0.011282 0.025440 0.055758 0.116576 0.229189 0.446994
2025-08-31 0.003840 0.010075 0.023765 0.054242 0.117532 0.238301 0.478328
2025-09-07 0.003583 0.009847 0.024128 0.056980 0.127202 0.264600 0.543909
2025-09-14 0.003153 0.009108 0.023247 0.056933 0.131189 0.280382 0.590971
2025-09-21 0.002687 0.008179 0.021776 0.055363 0.131766 0.289473 0.625802
2025-09-28 0.002339 0.007482 0.020737 0.054613 0.133992 0.302033 0.668546
2025-10-05 0.002228 0.007427 0.021270 0.057643 0.144936 0.333527 0.752343
2025-10-12 0.002080 0.007230 0.021409 0.059726 0.153939 0.361687 0.831470
2025-10-19 0.001800 0.006569 0.020216 0.058309 0.154601 0.371947 0.873642
2025-10-26 0.001589 0.006076 0.019394 0.057724 0.157163 0.386561 0.926309
2025-11-02 0.001362 0.005473 0.018154 0.055840 0.156304 0.393383 0.962394
2025-11-09 0.001181 0.004979 0.017143 0.054427 0.156441 0.402454 1.004163